Loss Statistics

from .. to
history
from .. to trends (7-day µ)
2024 is key: the economics
Big Ticket Items
Refineries & Disruptions
Boycott
New Artillery: September 24
Forecast And Scenarios: artillery
Forecast And Scenarios: tanks
Send your feedback & thoughts
   Tanks
feb 2022: active, in storage, (- oryx visually confirmed destroyed @ 2024-01-29, oryx as 70% of confirmed)
    source
    other conservative estimates added
  • T-55 < 2000 storage (-2, -3)
  • T-62 2000 storage (-97, -139)
  • T-64 800 storage (-85, -121)
  • T-72 2000 active, 8000 storage (-1346, -1922)
  • T-80 2000 active, 5000 storage (-741, -1058)
  • T-90 350 active, 600 storage (-68, -97)
  • T-14 20 testing
  • unknown ( -304, -434 )
  • Max: 22 750, active: 4 350, storage: 18 400, (-2643, -3775)
Storage evaluations at 30 Jan 2024
  • Starting stocks. Wikipedia ∑ above: 18 400, IISS: 17 500, IISS 2023 report: 5000 in storage (excl T-55 & T-62), IAR: 7000 in storage (1700 < T-64)
  • monthly new or refurbished capacity: 33
  • Losses documented: 2774, oryx figure as 70% of losses: 3775, UA Mod at 29 Jan 24 -20%: 5300, Oryx figure as % of 5300: 52%
  • in essence almost all, or more that, active stock is destroyed. Only new/refurbished can go to battle.
  • Storage appears to be between 5000 and 7000, including T-62 and T-55. The increasing amount of videos with T-62s indicates refurbishments cannot keep pace with losses.
  • reliance on storage items, losses faster than refurbishments, falling back on older inventory... sort of explains the reliance on meat waves and KAB usage.
   Artillery
  • 2B11 2S12 Sani Active: ≈636 Reserve: 1,000
  • 2B14 Podnos Active: ≈396 Reserve: 3,000
Wikipedia data, followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2B16 Nona-K 100 (-12)
  • D-20 1075 (-19) [4933 -> 3464]
  • D-30 D-1 M-30 [3722 -> 1583]
  • MT-12 [1398 -> 627]
  • 2A18 D-30 Active: 564 Reserve: ≈ 4,000 (-80)
  • 2A29 MT-12 Rapira 526 (-19)
  • 2A36 Giatsint (Hyacinth)-B Active: ≈141 Reserve: 1,000 (-43) [922 -> 221]
  • 2A65 Msta-B Active: 250 Reserve: 600 (-112) [571 -> 242]
  • max field artillery: 8256 reserve: 5600 (-285) [14631 -> 6785 or -54%]
Wikipedia data followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2S1 Gvozdika (Carnation) Active: 230 Reserve: 1700 (-83) [1689 -> 1377]
  • 2S3 Akatsiya (Acacia) Active: 800 Reserve: 800 (-199) [847 -> 512]
  • 2S4 Tyulpan (Tulip) Active: 60 Reserve: 350 (-23) [403 -> 193]
  • 2S5 Giatsint-S (Hyacinth) Active: 114 Reserve: 850 (-47) [600 -> 351]
  • 2S7 Pion (Peonia) Active: 100 Reserve: 260 (-18) [236 -> 104]
  • 2S19 Msta-S, 2S19M1, and 2S19M2 Msta-SM2 820 (-181) [115 -> 130]
  • 2S23 Nona-SVK 42 (-40)
  • 2S34 Chosta <50 (-2)
  • 2S35 Koalitsiya-SV ≈12 (unknown -26)
  • Max SP artillery: 6 188, reserve: 3 960, (-865) [4450 -> 2916 or -35%]
  • field artillery has been halved, based on Covert Cabal data. It appears a lot more have been lost than estimated/seen; assumption is losses are hard to document. Remaining stock will tend to have degraded quality. Crazy numbers still, but not as overwhelming
  • Numbers confirm ru is running on storage items. Adding pieces in transit brings one to discount the max available self-propelled at max 3500
  • Looking at 30-day averages, ru has been putting in harm's way a lot of artillery, enough to wipe out self-propelled stock entirely in 4 months. ru cannot sustain this
  • At the start, fuel tanks were counted separately, as were 4 mobile SRBM.
  • The former were folded into 'vehicles', the latter into 'special equipment'.
  • priorities/focus changed...
'Average' is the invention of a mathematician. Put a man on a table, head in a freezer, feet in an oven, at average temperature, he is comfortable.
Thus a proverbial grain of salt needs applying.
  • doing better/worse than usual/average ∆ µ
  • emerging trend last-7-day average: ∆ 7
  • long-lasting trend 30-day average: ∆ 30
the deltas (differences) and calculations are relative to overall length of the conflict launched by russia on 02-24-2022 (not recalculated for a chosen time frame)
Please rotate your device to view all the data
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 860 3 3 26 2 0 0 0 409 68 0 2 0 0
1360 2025-11-14 1 000 6 19 20 1 0 0 2 490 90 0 2 0 14
1359 2025-11-13 1 040 0 2 35 0 0 0 0 442 95 0 0 0 0
1358 2025-11-12 1 180 2 11 9 0 0 0 2 141 88 0 2 0 0
1357 2025-11-11 1 000 0 3 13 1 0 0 1 162 87 0 1 0 0
1356 2025-11-10 1 020 0 1 17 1 0 0 0 217 79 0 0 0 0
1355 2025-11-09 1 090 7 7 9 0 0 0 0 57 77 0 0 0 0
1354 2025-11-08 970 5 1 19 0 0 0 0 440 85 0 0 0 8
1353 2025-11-07 1 190 0 1 20 3 0 1 1 250 72 0 0 0 0
1352 2025-11-06 1 170 1 2 13 0 0 0 1 248 65 0 2 0 0
1351 2025-11-05 1 170 0 6 15 0 0 0 0 172 84 0 1 0 0
1350 2025-11-04 900 3 3 24 0 0 0 2 398 70 0 0 0 0
1349 2025-11-03 840 5 1 42 1 0 0 0 425 93 0 1 0 0
1348 2025-11-02 1 160 5 6 45 0 0 0 0 383 121 0 2 0 1
1347 2025-11-01 940 0 4 25 0 0 0 0 348 121 0 0 0 0
1346 2025-10-31 900 6 2 9 1 0 0 2 349 58 0 1 0 0
1345 2025-10-30 970 5 5 39 2 0 0 1 648 118 0 0 0 37
1344 2025-10-29 960 2 3 25 1 0 0 2 340 128 0 0 0 0
1343 2025-10-28 1 150 4 3 20 1 0 0 0 313 79 0 2 0 0
1342 2025-10-27 1 060 6 28 8 2 0 0 0 108 131 0 3 0 0
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 1 158 240 11 348 23 536 34 281 1 546 12 6 1 229 81 362 67 580 0 4 139 31 701
1360 2025-11-14 1 157 380 11 345 23 533 34 255 1 544 12 6 1 229 80 953 67 512 0 4 137 31 701
1359 2025-11-13 1 156 380 11 339 23 514 34 235 1 543 12 6 1 227 80 463 67 422 0 4 135 31 687
1358 2025-11-12 1 155 340 11 339 23 512 34 200 1 543 12 6 1 227 80 021 67 327 0 4 135 31 687
1357 2025-11-11 1 154 160 11 337 23 501 34 191 1 543 12 6 1 225 79 880 67 239 0 4 133 31 687
1356 2025-11-10 1 153 160 11 337 23 498 34 178 1 542 12 6 1 224 79 718 67 152 0 4 132 31 687
1355 2025-11-09 1 152 140 11 337 23 497 34 161 1 541 12 6 1 224 79 501 67 073 0 4 132 31 687
1354 2025-11-08 1 151 050 11 330 23 490 34 152 1 541 12 6 1 224 79 444 66 996 0 4 132 31 687
1353 2025-11-07 1 150 080 11 325 23 489 34 133 1 541 12 6 1 224 79 004 66 911 0 4 132 31 679
1352 2025-11-06 1 148 890 11 325 23 488 34 113 1 538 12 5 1 223 78 754 66 839 0 4 132 31 679
1351 2025-11-05 1 147 720 11 324 23 486 34 100 1 538 12 5 1 222 78 506 66 774 0 4 130 31 679
1350 2025-11-04 1 146 550 11 324 23 480 34 085 1 538 12 5 1 222 78 334 66 690 0 4 129 31 679
1349 2025-11-03 1 145 650 11 321 23 477 34 061 1 538 12 5 1 220 77 936 66 620 0 4 129 31 679
1348 2025-11-02 1 144 810 11 316 23 476 34 019 1 537 12 5 1 220 77 511 66 527 0 4 128 31 679
1347 2025-11-01 1 143 650 11 311 23 470 33 974 1 537 12 5 1 220 77 128 66 406 0 4 126 31 678
1346 2025-10-31 1 142 710 11 311 23 466 33 949 1 537 12 5 1 220 76 780 66 285 0 4 126 31 678
1345 2025-10-30 1 141 810 11 305 23 464 33 940 1 536 12 5 1 218 76 431 66 227 0 4 125 31 678
1344 2025-10-29 1 140 840 11 300 23 459 33 901 1 534 12 5 1 217 75 783 66 109 0 4 125 31 641
1343 2025-10-28 1 139 880 11 298 23 456 33 876 1 533 12 5 1 215 75 443 65 981 0 4 125 31 641
1342 2025-10-27 1 138 730 11 294 23 453 33 856 1 532 12 5 1 215 75 130 65 902 0 4 123 31 641
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 849.6 8.3 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 59.8 49.6 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1360 2025-11-14 849.6 8.3 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 59.5 49.6 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1359 2025-11-13 849.4 8.3 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 59.2 49.5 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.7
1358 2025-11-12 849.3 8.4 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 58.9 49.5 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1357 2025-11-11 849.1 8.4 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 58.9 49.5 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1356 2025-11-10 849.0 8.4 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 58.8 49.5 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1355 2025-11-09 848.8 8.4 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 58.7 49.4 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1354 2025-11-08 848.6 8.4 17.3 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 58.7 49.4 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1353 2025-11-07 848.6 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 58.4 49.4 0.1 3.0 0.0 2.8
1352 2025-11-06 848.3 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 58.2 49.4 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1351 2025-11-05 848.1 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 58.1 49.4 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1350 2025-11-04 847.8 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 58.0 49.3 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1349 2025-11-03 847.8 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 57.8 49.3 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1348 2025-11-02 847.8 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 57.5 49.3 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1347 2025-11-01 847.6 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 57.3 49.2 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1346 2025-10-31 847.5 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 57.0 49.2 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1345 2025-10-30 847.5 8.4 17.4 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 56.8 49.2 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.8
1344 2025-10-29 847.4 8.4 17.5 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 56.4 49.1 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.7
1343 2025-10-28 847.3 8.4 17.5 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 56.2 49.1 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.7
1342 2025-10-27 847.1 8.4 17.5 25.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 56.0 49.0 0.1 3.1 0.0 2.7
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 10.4 -5.3 -14.3 0.8 0.9 -0.9 349.2 18.4 -1.0 -2.8
1360 2025-11-14 150.4 -2.3 1.7 -5.2 -0.1 1.1 430.5 40.4 -1.0 11.2
1359 2025-11-13 190.6 -8.3 -15.3 9.8 -1.1 -0.9 382.8 45.5 -3.0 -2.7
1358 2025-11-12 330.7 -6.4 -6.3 -16.2 -1.1 1.1 82.1 38.5 -1.0 -2.8
1357 2025-11-11 150.9 -8.4 -14.3 -12.2 -0.1 0.1 103.1 37.5 -2.0 -2.8
1356 2025-11-10 171.0 -8.4 -16.3 -8.2 -0.1 -0.9 158.2 29.5 -3.0 -2.8
1355 2025-11-09 241.2 -1.4 -10.3 -16.2 -1.1 -0.9 -1.7 27.6 -3.0 -2.8
1354 2025-11-08 121.4 -3.4 -16.3 -6.2 -1.1 -0.9 381.3 35.6 -3.0 5.2
1353 2025-11-07 341.4 -8.4 -16.4 -5.2 1.9 -0.4 0.7 0.1 191.6 22.6 -0.1 -3.0 0.0 -2.8
1352 2025-11-06 321.7 -7.4 -15.4 -12.2 -1.1 0.1 189.8 15.6 -1.1 -2.8
1351 2025-11-05 321.9 -8.4 -11.4 -10.2 -1.1 -0.9 113.9 34.6 -2.1 -2.8
1350 2025-11-04 52.2 -5.4 -14.4 -1.2 -1.1 1.1 340.0 20.7 -3.1 -2.8
1349 2025-11-03 -7.8 -3.4 -16.4 16.8 -0.1 -0.9 367.2 43.7 -2.1 -2.8
1348 2025-11-02 312.2 -3.4 -11.4 19.8 -1.1 -0.9 325.5 71.7 -1.1 -1.8
1347 2025-11-01 92.4 -8.4 -13.4 -0.2 -1.1 -0.9 290.7 71.8 -3.1 -2.8
1346 2025-10-31 52.5 -2.4 -15.4 -16.2 -0.1 1.1 292.0 8.8 -2.1 -2.8
1345 2025-10-30 122.5 -3.4 -12.4 13.8 0.9 0.1 591.2 68.8 -3.1 34.2
1344 2025-10-29 112.6 -6.4 -14.5 -0.2 -0.1 1.1 283.6 78.9 -3.1 -2.7
1343 2025-10-28 302.7 -4.4 -14.5 -5.2 -0.1 -0.9 256.8 29.9 -1.1 -2.7
1342 2025-10-27 212.9 -2.4 10.5 -17.2 0.9 -0.9 52.0 82.0 -0.1 -2.7
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 1 027 3 7 18 1 0 0 1 274 83 0 1 0 2
1360 2025-11-14 1 043 3 6 17 0 0 0 1 278 86 0 1 0 3
1359 2025-11-13 1 070 2 4 17 1 0 0 1 244 83 0 0 0 1
1358 2025-11-12 1 089 2 4 14 1 0 0 1 216 79 0 1 0 1
1357 2025-11-11 1 087 2 3 15 1 0 0 0 221 78 0 1 0 1
1356 2025-11-10 1 073 2 3 17 1 0 0 1 255 76 0 0 0 1
1355 2025-11-09 1 047 3 3 20 1 0 0 1 284 78 0 1 0 1
1354 2025-11-08 1 057 3 3 25 1 0 0 1 331 84 0 1 0 1
1353 2025-11-07 1 053 2 3 26 1 0 0 1 318 89 0 1 0 0
1352 2025-11-06 1 011 3 3 25 0 0 0 1 332 87 0 1 0 0
1351 2025-11-05 983 3 4 28 1 0 0 1 389 95 0 1 0 5
1350 2025-11-04 953 4 3 30 1 0 0 1 413 101 0 1 0 5
1349 2025-11-03 989 4 3 29 1 0 0 1 401 103 0 1 0 5
1348 2025-11-02 1 020 4 7 24 1 0 0 1 356 108 0 1 0 5
1347 2025-11-01 969 4 7 23 1 0 0 1 379 110 0 1 0 5
1346 2025-10-31 963 4 9 21 1 0 0 1 360 105 0 1 0 5
1345 2025-10-30 964 4 9 22 1 0 0 0 361 108 0 1 0 5
1344 2025-10-29 956 3 9 22 1 0 0 0 332 154 0 19 0 0
1343 2025-10-28 950 3 9 21 1 0 0 0 372 151 0 19 0 2
1342 2025-10-27 936 3 10 20 1 0 0 0 351 153 0 19 0 2
days date . .
1361 2025-11-15 1 008 3 7 24 1 0 0 1 342 108 0 5 0 3
1360 2025-11-14 1 003 3 7 24 1 0 0 1 348 108 0 5 0 3
1359 2025-11-13 1 006 3 6 25 1 0 0 1 346 110 0 5 0 2
1358 2025-11-12 1 007 3 6 25 1 0 0 1 344 111 0 5 0 2
1357 2025-11-11 1 008 3 6 26 1 0 0 1 352 113 0 5 0 2
1356 2025-11-10 1 012 3 6 26 1 0 0 0 354 114 0 5 0 2
1355 2025-11-09 1 020 3 6 26 1 0 0 0 355 114 0 5 0 2
1354 2025-11-08 1 019 3 6 26 1 0 0 0 361 114 0 5 0 3
1353 2025-11-07 1 024 3 6 26 1 0 0 0 355 113 0 5 0 3
1352 2025-11-06 1 018 3 7 26 1 0 0 0 360 114 0 5 0 3
1351 2025-11-05 1 012 3 7 27 1 0 0 0 365 114 0 5 0 3
1350 2025-11-04 1 007 3 7 27 1 0 0 1 370 114 0 5 0 3
1349 2025-11-03 1 014 3 7 27 1 0 0 0 369 113 0 5 0 4
1348 2025-11-02 1 015 3 7 26 1 0 0 0 366 112 0 5 0 4
1347 2025-11-01 1 008 3 7 25 1 0 0 0 368 110 0 5 0 4
1346 2025-10-31 1 009 3 7 25 1 0 0 0 365 107 0 5 0 4
1345 2025-10-30 1 011 3 7 25 1 0 0 0 363 106 0 5 0 4
1344 2025-10-29 1 010 3 7 24 1 0 0 0 349 104 0 5 0 3
1343 2025-10-28 1 010 3 7 24 1 0 0 0 348 102 0 5 0 3
1342 2025-10-27 1 008 3 6 25 1 0 0 0 358 103 0 5 0 4
   Help Ukraine keep innovating Support small enterprises build drones, FPV or otherwise:   
wild hornets    toro ua    night butterfly on X   Veterans Ukraine   Avdiivka volunteer on X
Shadow subdivision their channel

fund an fpv 5375 4112 1065 5986 PayPal pigeonforge2020@gmail.com (for Shadow)

fund a Mavic 5375 4112 1092 7062 PayPal pigeonforge2020@gmail.com (for Shadow)