Loss Statistics

from .. to
history
from .. to trends (7-day µ)
2025 year-end: NWF, deficit & doom
2024 is key: the economics
Big Ticket Items
Refineries & Disruptions
Boycott
New Artillery: September 24
Forecast And Scenarios: artillery
Forecast And Scenarios: tanks
Send your feedback & thoughts
   Tanks
feb 2022: active, in storage, (- oryx visually confirmed destroyed @ 2024-01-29, oryx as 70% of confirmed)
    source
    other conservative estimates added
  • T-55 < 2000 storage (-2, -3)
  • T-62 2000 storage (-97, -139)
  • T-64 800 storage (-85, -121)
  • T-72 2000 active, 8000 storage (-1346, -1922)
  • T-80 2000 active, 5000 storage (-741, -1058)
  • T-90 350 active, 600 storage (-68, -97)
  • T-14 20 testing
  • unknown ( -304, -434 )
  • Max: 22 750, active: 4 350, storage: 18 400, (-2643, -3775)
Storage evaluations at 30 Jan 2024
  • Starting stocks. Wikipedia ∑ above: 18 400, IISS: 17 500, IISS 2023 report: 5000 in storage (excl T-55 & T-62), IAR: 7000 in storage (1700 < T-64)
  • monthly new or refurbished capacity: 33
  • Losses documented: 2774, oryx figure as 70% of losses: 3775, UA Mod at 29 Jan 24 -20%: 5300, Oryx figure as % of 5300: 52%
  • in essence almost all, or more that, active stock is destroyed. Only new/refurbished can go to battle.
  • Storage appears to be between 5000 and 7000, including T-62 and T-55. The increasing amount of videos with T-62s indicates refurbishments cannot keep pace with losses.
  • reliance on storage items, losses faster than refurbishments, falling back on older inventory... sort of explains the reliance on meat waves and KAB usage.
   Artillery
  • 2B11 2S12 Sani Active: ≈636 Reserve: 1,000
  • 2B14 Podnos Active: ≈396 Reserve: 3,000
Wikipedia data, followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2B16 Nona-K 100 (-12)
  • D-20 1075 (-19) [4933 -> 3464]
  • D-30 D-1 M-30 [3722 -> 1583]
  • MT-12 [1398 -> 627]
  • 2A18 D-30 Active: 564 Reserve: ≈ 4,000 (-80)
  • 2A29 MT-12 Rapira 526 (-19)
  • 2A36 Giatsint (Hyacinth)-B Active: ≈141 Reserve: 1,000 (-43) [922 -> 221]
  • 2A65 Msta-B Active: 250 Reserve: 600 (-112) [571 -> 242]
  • max field artillery: 8256 reserve: 5600 (-285) [14631 -> 6785 or -54%]
Wikipedia data followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2S1 Gvozdika (Carnation) Active: 230 Reserve: 1700 (-83) [1689 -> 1377]
  • 2S3 Akatsiya (Acacia) Active: 800 Reserve: 800 (-199) [847 -> 512]
  • 2S4 Tyulpan (Tulip) Active: 60 Reserve: 350 (-23) [403 -> 193]
  • 2S5 Giatsint-S (Hyacinth) Active: 114 Reserve: 850 (-47) [600 -> 351]
  • 2S7 Pion (Peonia) Active: 100 Reserve: 260 (-18) [236 -> 104]
  • 2S19 Msta-S, 2S19M1, and 2S19M2 Msta-SM2 820 (-181) [115 -> 130]
  • 2S23 Nona-SVK 42 (-40)
  • 2S34 Chosta <50 (-2)
  • 2S35 Koalitsiya-SV ≈12 (unknown -26)
  • Max SP artillery: 6 188, reserve: 3 960, (-865) [4450 -> 2916 or -35%]
  • field artillery has been halved, based on Covert Cabal data. It appears a lot more have been lost than estimated/seen; assumption is losses are hard to document. Remaining stock will tend to have degraded quality. Crazy numbers still, but not as overwhelming
  • Numbers confirm ru is running on storage items. Adding pieces in transit brings one to discount the max available self-propelled at max 3500
  • Looking at 30-day averages, ru has been putting in harm's way a lot of artillery, enough to wipe out self-propelled stock entirely in 4 months. ru cannot sustain this
  • At the start, fuel tanks were counted separately, as were 4 mobile SRBM.
  • The former were folded into 'vehicles', the latter into 'special equipment'.
  • priorities/focus changed...
'Average' is the invention of a mathematician. Put a man on a table, head in a freezer, feet in an oven, at average temperature, he is comfortable.
Thus a proverbial grain of salt needs applying.
  • doing better/worse than usual/average ∆ µ
  • emerging trend last-7-day average: ∆ 7
  • long-lasting trend 30-day average: ∆ 30
the deltas (differences) and calculations are relative to overall length of the conflict launched by russia on 02-24-2022 (not recalculated for a chosen time frame)
Please rotate your device to view all the data
days date
1626 2026-08-07 1 190 4 1 58 1 0 0 6 1 751 10 349 0 2 1 0
1625 2026-08-06 1 210 1 11 67 2 0 0 3 1 589 14 386 0 6 0 0
1624 2026-08-05 1 330 4 3 59 4 0 0 7 1 811 4 416 0 1 0 0
1623 2026-08-04 1 130 5 5 65 2 0 0 2 1 715 10 449 0 3 0 0
1622 2026-08-03 1 240 5 4 55 4 0 0 5 1 792 12 379 0 0 0 0
1621 2026-08-02 1 390 1 5 80 8 0 0 4 1 657 4 485 0 6 0 0
1620 2026-08-01 1 500 0 10 69 8 0 0 2 1 788 0 456 0 2 0 2
1619 2026-07-31 1 470 0 4 82 4 0 0 2 1 838 16 463 0 1 0 0
1618 2026-07-30 1 340 1 7 42 0 0 0 3 1 525 10 413 0 3 0 55
1617 2026-07-29 1 360 3 5 41 3 0 0 1 1 362 8 440 0 2 0 0
1616 2026-07-28 1 310 1 6 60 3 0 0 2 1 468 9 331 0 2 0 0
1615 2026-07-27 1 560 1 6 71 1 0 0 0 1 755 16 548 0 4 0 0
1614 2026-07-26 1 590 8 13 37 0 0 0 1 1 269 7 491 0 7 0 6
1613 2026-07-25 1 440 9 8 70 1 0 0 0 1 450 8 453 0 3 0 1
1612 2026-07-24 1 450 7 11 78 0 0 0 2 1 596 17 571 0 8 0 5
1611 2026-07-23 1 410 10 6 76 7 1 0 1 1 652 12 544 0 1 0 2
1610 2026-07-22 1 460 28 12 78 3 0 0 2 1 688 13 541 0 3 0 3
1609 2026-07-21 1 330 2 4 57 3 0 0 0 1 610 11 355 0 9 0 0
1608 2026-07-20 1 370 3 7 92 2 0 0 2 1 865 5 453 0 8 0 0
1607 2026-07-19 1 600 2 8 82 3 0 0 6 1 769 9 605 0 3 0 18
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
days date
1626 2026-08-07 1 456 550 12 247 25 059 47 392 2 016 3 1 1 538 450 279 546 131 527 0 4 712 2 274
1625 2026-08-06 1 455 360 12 243 25 058 47 334 2 015 3 1 1 532 448 528 536 131 178 0 4 710 1 274
1624 2026-08-05 1 454 150 12 242 25 047 47 267 2 013 3 1 1 529 446 939 522 130 792 0 4 704 1 274
1623 2026-08-04 1 452 820 12 238 25 044 47 208 2 009 3 1 1 522 445 128 518 130 376 0 4 703 1 274
1622 2026-08-03 1 451 690 12 233 25 039 47 143 2 007 3 1 1 520 443 413 508 129 927 0 4 700 1 274
1621 2026-08-02 1 450 450 12 228 25 035 47 088 2 003 3 1 1 515 441 621 496 129 548 0 4 700 1 274
1620 2026-08-01 1 449 060 12 227 25 030 47 008 1 995 3 1 1 511 439 964 492 129 063 0 4 694 1 274
1619 2026-07-31 1 447 560 12 227 25 020 46 939 1 987 3 1 1 509 438 176 492 128 607 0 4 692 1 272
1618 2026-07-30 1 446 090 12 227 25 016 46 857 1 983 3 1 1 507 436 338 476 128 144 0 4 691 1 272
1617 2026-07-29 1 444 750 12 226 25 009 46 815 1 983 3 1 1 504 434 813 466 127 731 0 4 688 1 217
1616 2026-07-28 1 443 390 12 223 25 004 46 774 1 980 3 1 1 503 433 451 458 127 291 0 4 686 1 217
1615 2026-07-27 1 442 080 12 222 24 998 46 714 1 977 3 1 1 501 431 983 449 126 960 0 4 684 1 217
1614 2026-07-26 1 440 520 12 221 24 992 46 643 1 976 3 1 1 501 430 228 433 126 412 0 4 680 1 217
1613 2026-07-25 1 438 930 12 213 24 979 46 606 1 976 3 1 1 500 428 959 426 125 921 0 4 673 1 211
1612 2026-07-24 1 437 490 12 204 24 971 46 536 1 975 3 1 1 500 427 509 418 125 468 0 4 670 1 210
1611 2026-07-23 1 436 040 12 197 24 960 46 458 1 975 3 1 1 498 425 913 401 124 897 0 4 662 1 205
1610 2026-07-22 1 434 630 12 187 24 954 46 382 1 968 2 1 1 497 424 261 389 124 353 0 4 661 1 203
1609 2026-07-21 1 433 170 12 159 24 942 46 304 1 965 2 1 1 495 422 573 376 123 812 0 4 658 1 200
1608 2026-07-20 1 431 840 12 157 24 938 46 247 1 962 2 1 1 495 420 963 365 123 457 0 4 649 1 200
1607 2026-07-19 1 430 470 12 154 24 931 46 155 1 960 2 1 1 493 419 098 360 123 004 0 4 641 1 200
days date
1626 2026-08-07 894.6 7.5 15.4 29.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 276.9 0.5 80.8 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1625 2026-08-06 894.4 7.5 15.4 29.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 276.0 0.5 80.7 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1624 2026-08-05 894.2 7.5 15.4 29.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 275.2 0.5 80.5 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1623 2026-08-04 893.9 7.5 15.4 29.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 274.3 0.5 80.3 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1622 2026-08-03 893.8 7.5 15.4 29.1 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 273.4 0.5 80.1 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1621 2026-08-02 893.6 7.5 15.4 29.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 272.4 0.5 79.9 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1620 2026-08-01 893.3 7.5 15.5 29.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 271.6 0.5 79.6 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1619 2026-07-31 892.9 7.6 15.5 29.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 270.6 0.5 79.4 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1618 2026-07-30 892.5 7.6 15.5 29.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 269.7 0.5 79.1 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
1617 2026-07-29 892.3 7.6 15.5 29.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 268.9 0.5 78.9 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1616 2026-07-28 892.0 7.6 15.5 28.9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 268.2 0.5 78.7 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1615 2026-07-27 891.7 7.6 15.5 28.9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 267.5 0.5 78.6 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1614 2026-07-26 891.3 7.6 15.5 28.9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 266.6 0.4 78.3 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1613 2026-07-25 890.9 7.6 15.5 28.9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 265.9 0.4 78.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1612 2026-07-24 890.5 7.6 15.5 28.9 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 265.2 0.4 77.8 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1611 2026-07-23 890.2 7.6 15.5 28.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 264.4 0.4 77.5 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1610 2026-07-22 889.8 7.6 15.5 28.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 263.5 0.4 77.2 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1609 2026-07-21 889.5 7.6 15.5 28.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 262.6 0.4 76.9 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1608 2026-07-20 889.2 7.6 15.5 28.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 261.8 0.4 76.7 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9
1607 2026-07-19 888.9 7.6 15.5 28.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 260.8 0.4 76.5 0.0 2.9 0.0 3.0
days date
1626 2026-08-07 295.4 -3.5 -14.4 28.9 -0.2 5.1 1 474.1 9.5 268.2 -0.9 -3.0
1625 2026-08-06 315.6 -6.5 -4.4 37.9 0.8 2.1 1 313.0 13.5 305.3 3.1 -3.0
1624 2026-08-05 435.8 -3.5 -12.4 29.9 2.8 6.1 1 535.8 3.5 335.5 -1.9 -3.0
1623 2026-08-04 236.1 -2.5 -10.4 35.9 0.8 1.1 1 440.7 9.5 368.7 0.1 -3.0
1622 2026-08-03 346.2 -2.5 -11.4 25.9 2.8 4.1 1 518.6 11.5 298.9 -2.9 -3.0
1621 2026-08-02 496.4 -6.5 -10.4 51.0 6.8 3.1 1 384.6 3.5 405.1 3.1 -3.0
1620 2026-08-01 606.7 -7.5 -5.5 40.0 6.8 1.1 1 516.4 -0.5 376.4 -0.9 -1.0
1619 2026-07-31 577.1 -7.6 -11.5 53.0 2.8 1.1 1 567.4 15.5 383.6 -1.9 -3.0
1618 2026-07-30 447.5 -6.6 -8.5 13.0 -1.2 2.1 1 255.3 9.5 333.9 0.1 52.0
1617 2026-07-29 467.7 -4.6 -10.5 12.0 1.8 0.1 1 093.1 7.5 361.1 -0.9 -2.9
1616 2026-07-28 418.0 -6.6 -9.5 31.1 1.8 1.1 1 199.8 8.5 252.3 -0.9 -2.9
1615 2026-07-27 668.3 -6.6 -9.5 42.1 -0.2 -0.9 1 487.5 15.5 469.4 1.1 -2.9
1614 2026-07-26 698.7 0.4 -2.5 8.1 -1.2 0.1 1 002.4 6.6 412.7 4.1 3.1
1613 2026-07-25 549.1 1.4 -7.5 41.1 -0.2 -0.9 1 184.1 7.6 375.0 0.1 -1.9
1612 2026-07-24 559.5 -0.6 -4.5 49.1 -1.2 1.1 1 330.8 16.6 493.2 5.1 2.1
1611 2026-07-23 519.8 2.4 -9.5 47.2 5.8 0.1 1 387.6 11.6 466.5 -1.9 -0.9
1610 2026-07-22 570.2 20.4 -3.5 49.2 1.8 1.1 1 424.5 12.6 463.8 0.1 0.1
1609 2026-07-21 440.5 -5.6 -11.5 28.2 1.8 -0.9 1 347.4 10.6 278.1 6.1 -2.9
1608 2026-07-20 480.8 -4.6 -8.5 63.2 0.8 1.1 1 603.2 4.6 376.3 5.1 -2.9
1607 2026-07-19 711.1 -5.6 -7.5 53.3 1.8 5.1 1 508.2 8.6 528.5 0.1 15.0
days date
1626 2026-08-07 1 284 3 6 65 4 0 0 4 1 729 8 417 0 3 0 0
1625 2026-08-06 1 324 2 6 68 5 0 0 4 1 741 9 433 0 3 0 0
1624 2026-08-05 1 343 2 5 65 4 0 0 4 1 732 8 437 0 2 0 8
1623 2026-08-04 1 347 2 6 62 4 0 0 3 1 668 9 441 0 2 0 8
1622 2026-08-03 1 373 2 6 61 4 0 0 3 1 633 8 424 0 2 0 8
1621 2026-08-02 1 419 1 6 64 4 0 0 2 1 628 9 448 0 3 0 8
1620 2026-08-01 1 447 2 7 57 3 0 0 2 1 572 9 449 0 3 0 9
1619 2026-07-31 1 439 3 7 58 2 0 0 1 1 524 11 448 0 3 0 9
1618 2026-07-30 1 436 4 8 57 1 0 0 1 1 489 11 464 0 4 0 10
1617 2026-07-29 1 446 6 8 62 2 0 0 1 1 507 11 483 0 4 0 2
1616 2026-07-28 1 460 9 9 67 2 0 0 1 1 554 12 497 0 4 0 2
1615 2026-07-27 1 463 9 9 67 2 0 0 1 1 574 12 500 0 5 0 2
1614 2026-07-26 1 436 10 9 70 2 0 0 1 1 590 10 487 0 6 0 2
1613 2026-07-25 1 437 9 8 76 3 0 0 2 1 661 11 503 0 5 0 4
1612 2026-07-24 1 449 8 8 79 3 0 0 2 1 720 11 517 0 5 0 4
1611 2026-07-23 1 444 8 8 80 4 0 0 3 1 765 11 510 0 4 0 4
1610 2026-07-22 1 439 7 8 79 4 0 0 3 1 798 11 502 0 5 0 4
1609 2026-07-21 1 421 3 6 77 3 0 0 3 1 814 11 485 0 4 0 4
1608 2026-07-20 1 441 4 7 75 3 0 0 3 1 870 9 498 0 4 0 5
1607 2026-07-19 1 406 5 6 68 3 0 0 3 1 819 10 480 0 3 0 5
days date
1626 2026-08-07 1 393 5 6 65 3 0 0 3 1 695 10 450 0 3 0 4
1625 2026-08-06 1 397 5 7 65 3 0 0 2 1 698 10 451 0 3 0 4
1624 2026-08-05 1 399 5 6 65 3 0 0 2 1 714 9 453 0 3 0 4
1623 2026-08-04 1 394 5 6 65 3 0 0 2 1 725 10 453 0 4 0 5
1622 2026-08-03 1 404 5 7 65 3 0 0 2 1 733 10 457 0 4 0 5
1621 2026-08-02 1 406 5 7 65 3 0 0 2 1 728 10 460 0 4 0 5
1620 2026-08-01 1 399 5 7 66 3 0 0 2 1 732 10 457 0 4 0 5
1619 2026-07-31 1 391 5 7 65 2 0 0 2 1 744 10 455 0 4 0 7
1618 2026-07-30 1 380 5 7 64 2 0 0 2 1 753 10 451 0 4 0 7
1617 2026-07-29 1 375 5 7 65 3 0 0 2 1 765 10 451 0 4 0 5
1616 2026-07-28 1 375 5 7 66 2 0 0 2 1 785 10 452 0 4 0 5
1615 2026-07-27 1 372 5 6 66 2 0 0 2 1 794 10 457 0 4 0 5
1614 2026-07-26 1 362 6 7 66 2 0 0 2 1 798 10 456 0 4 0 5
1613 2026-07-25 1 354 5 7 67 2 0 0 2 1 821 10 456 0 4 0 5
1612 2026-07-24 1 350 5 6 66 3 0 0 3 1 832 10 455 0 4 0 5
1611 2026-07-23 1 344 5 6 66 3 0 0 3 1 845 9 451 0 4 0 5
1610 2026-07-22 1 339 5 6 66 2 0 0 3 1 852 9 447 0 4 0 5
1609 2026-07-21 1 336 4 6 65 2 0 0 3 1 858 9 450 0 4 0 5
1608 2026-07-20 1 332 4 6 65 2 0 0 3 1 871 9 451 0 4 0 5
1607 2026-07-19 1 329 4 6 65 2 0 0 3 1 887 9 452 0 4 0 5
   Help Ukraine keep innovating Support small enterprises build drones, FPV or otherwise:   
wild hornets    toro ua    night butterfly on X   Veterans Ukraine   Avdiivka volunteer on X
Shadow subdivision their channel

fund an fpv 5375 4112 1065 5986 PayPal pigeonforge2020@gmail.com (for Shadow)

fund a Mavic 5375 4112 1092 7062 PayPal pigeonforge2020@gmail.com (for Shadow)