Loss Statistics

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2024 is key: the economics
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Refineries & Disruptions
Boycott
New Artillery: September 24
Forecast And Scenarios: artillery
Forecast And Scenarios: tanks
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   Tanks
feb 2022: active, in storage, (- oryx visually confirmed destroyed @ 2024-01-29, oryx as 70% of confirmed)
    source
    other conservative estimates added
  • T-55 < 2000 storage (-2, -3)
  • T-62 2000 storage (-97, -139)
  • T-64 800 storage (-85, -121)
  • T-72 2000 active, 8000 storage (-1346, -1922)
  • T-80 2000 active, 5000 storage (-741, -1058)
  • T-90 350 active, 600 storage (-68, -97)
  • T-14 20 testing
  • unknown ( -304, -434 )
  • Max: 22 750, active: 4 350, storage: 18 400, (-2643, -3775)
Storage evaluations at 30 Jan 2024
  • Starting stocks. Wikipedia ∑ above: 18 400, IISS: 17 500, IISS 2023 report: 5000 in storage (excl T-55 & T-62), IAR: 7000 in storage (1700 < T-64)
  • monthly new or refurbished capacity: 33
  • Losses documented: 2774, oryx figure as 70% of losses: 3775, UA Mod at 29 Jan 24 -20%: 5300, Oryx figure as % of 5300: 52%
  • in essence almost all, or more that, active stock is destroyed. Only new/refurbished can go to battle.
  • Storage appears to be between 5000 and 7000, including T-62 and T-55. The increasing amount of videos with T-62s indicates refurbishments cannot keep pace with losses.
  • reliance on storage items, losses faster than refurbishments, falling back on older inventory... sort of explains the reliance on meat waves and KAB usage.
   Artillery
  • 2B11 2S12 Sani Active: ≈636 Reserve: 1,000
  • 2B14 Podnos Active: ≈396 Reserve: 3,000
Wikipedia data, followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2B16 Nona-K 100 (-12)
  • D-20 1075 (-19) [4933 -> 3464]
  • D-30 D-1 M-30 [3722 -> 1583]
  • MT-12 [1398 -> 627]
  • 2A18 D-30 Active: 564 Reserve: ≈ 4,000 (-80)
  • 2A29 MT-12 Rapira 526 (-19)
  • 2A36 Giatsint (Hyacinth)-B Active: ≈141 Reserve: 1,000 (-43) [922 -> 221]
  • 2A65 Msta-B Active: 250 Reserve: 600 (-112) [571 -> 242]
  • max field artillery: 8256 reserve: 5600 (-285) [14631 -> 6785 or -54%]
Wikipedia data followed by Covert Cabal data of pieces at storage bases [early 2022 -> Feb 1 2024]
  • 2S1 Gvozdika (Carnation) Active: 230 Reserve: 1700 (-83) [1689 -> 1377]
  • 2S3 Akatsiya (Acacia) Active: 800 Reserve: 800 (-199) [847 -> 512]
  • 2S4 Tyulpan (Tulip) Active: 60 Reserve: 350 (-23) [403 -> 193]
  • 2S5 Giatsint-S (Hyacinth) Active: 114 Reserve: 850 (-47) [600 -> 351]
  • 2S7 Pion (Peonia) Active: 100 Reserve: 260 (-18) [236 -> 104]
  • 2S19 Msta-S, 2S19M1, and 2S19M2 Msta-SM2 820 (-181) [115 -> 130]
  • 2S23 Nona-SVK 42 (-40)
  • 2S34 Chosta <50 (-2)
  • 2S35 Koalitsiya-SV ≈12 (unknown -26)
  • Max SP artillery: 6 188, reserve: 3 960, (-865) [4450 -> 2916 or -35%]
  • field artillery has been halved, based on Covert Cabal data. It appears a lot more have been lost than estimated/seen; assumption is losses are hard to document. Remaining stock will tend to have degraded quality. Crazy numbers still, but not as overwhelming
  • Numbers confirm ru is running on storage items. Adding pieces in transit brings one to discount the max available self-propelled at max 3500
  • Looking at 30-day averages, ru has been putting in harm's way a lot of artillery, enough to wipe out self-propelled stock entirely in 4 months. ru cannot sustain this
  • At the start, fuel tanks were counted separately, as were 4 mobile SRBM.
  • The former were folded into 'vehicles', the latter into 'special equipment'.
  • priorities/focus changed...
'Average' is the invention of a mathematician. Put a man on a table, head in a freezer, feet in an oven, at average temperature, he is comfortable.
Thus a proverbial grain of salt needs applying.
  • doing better/worse than usual/average ∆ µ
  • emerging trend last-7-day average: ∆ 7
  • long-lasting trend 30-day average: ∆ 30
the deltas (differences) and calculations are relative to overall length of the conflict launched by russia on 02-24-2022 (not recalculated for a chosen time frame)
Please rotate your device to view all the data
days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 1 160 4 13 31 0 0 0 0 72 105 0 0 0 0
1158 2025-04-26 1 030 8 5 42 1 0 0 0 114 136 0 0 0 0
1157 2025-04-25 1 110 8 5 70 0 0 0 1 118 145 0 0 0 0
1156 2025-04-24 1 170 9 3 72 3 48 0 3 119 151 0 0 0 0
1155 2025-04-23 1 060 3 5 49 1 0 0 0 134 134 0 0 0 0
1154 2025-04-22 1 210 8 11 85 1 0 0 1 138 163 0 1 0 0
1153 2025-04-21 1 130 4 19 26 0 0 0 1 118 134 0 0 0 0
1152 2025-04-20 670 2 2 10 0 0 0 0 64 50 0 0 0 0
1151 2025-04-19 950 1 5 49 0 0 0 0 64 112 0 1 0 0
1150 2025-04-18 1 180 14 9 70 1 0 0 3 111 208 0 0 0 3
1149 2025-04-17 1 530 8 40 88 1 0 0 1 140 312 0 51 0 0
1148 2025-04-16 1 230 16 54 65 2 0 0 3 88 170 0 3 0 0
1147 2025-04-15 1 050 9 13 87 0 0 0 0 146 133 0 3 0 0
1146 2025-04-14 1 180 7 20 68 2 0 0 2 147 210 0 0 0 0
1145 2025-04-13 1 310 19 42 59 0 0 0 2 119 179 0 2 0 0
1144 2025-04-12 1 220 12 33 71 0 0 0 1 147 143 0 1 0 0
1143 2025-04-11 1 240 11 7 49 2 0 0 0 78 128 0 0 0 0
1142 2025-04-10 1 210 1 15 61 1 0 0 0 165 122 0 2 0 0
1141 2025-04-09 1 420 3 12 70 0 0 0 0 105 169 0 4 0 0
1140 2025-04-08 1 270 4 10 52 0 0 0 1 56 118 0 0 0 0
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days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 947 820 10 722 22 317 26 944 1 382 48 0 1 127 34 117 46 077 0 3 860 0 3
1158 2025-04-26 946 660 10 718 22 304 26 913 1 382 48 0 1 127 34 045 45 972 0 3 860 0 3
1157 2025-04-25 945 630 10 710 22 299 26 871 1 381 48 0 1 127 33 931 45 836 0 3 860 0 3
1156 2025-04-24 944 520 10 702 22 294 26 801 1 381 48 0 1 126 33 813 45 691 0 3 860 0 3
1155 2025-04-23 943 350 10 693 22 291 26 729 1 378 0 0 1 123 33 694 45 540 0 3 860 0 3
1154 2025-04-22 942 290 10 690 22 286 26 680 1 377 0 0 1 123 33 560 45 406 0 3 860 0 3
1153 2025-04-21 941 080 10 682 22 275 26 595 1 376 0 0 1 122 33 422 45 243 0 3 859 0 3
1152 2025-04-20 939 950 10 678 22 256 26 569 1 376 0 0 1 121 33 304 45 109 0 3 859 0 3
1151 2025-04-19 939 280 10 676 22 254 26 559 1 376 0 0 1 121 33 240 45 059 0 3 859 0 3
1150 2025-04-18 938 330 10 675 22 249 26 510 1 376 0 0 1 121 33 176 44 947 0 3 858 0 3
1149 2025-04-17 937 150 10 661 22 240 26 440 1 375 0 0 1 118 33 065 44 739 0 3 858 0 0
1148 2025-04-16 935 620 10 653 22 200 26 352 1 374 0 0 1 117 32 925 44 427 0 3 807 0 0
1147 2025-04-15 934 390 10 637 22 146 26 287 1 372 0 0 1 114 32 837 44 257 0 3 804 0 0
1146 2025-04-14 933 340 10 628 22 133 26 200 1 372 0 0 1 114 32 691 44 124 0 3 801 0 0
1145 2025-04-13 932 160 10 621 22 113 26 132 1 370 0 0 1 112 32 544 43 914 0 3 801 0 0
1144 2025-04-12 930 850 10 602 22 071 26 073 1 370 0 0 1 110 32 425 43 735 0 3 799 0 0
1143 2025-04-11 929 630 10 590 22 038 26 002 1 370 0 0 1 109 32 278 43 592 0 3 798 0 0
1142 2025-04-10 928 390 10 579 22 031 25 953 1 368 0 0 1 109 32 200 43 464 0 3 798 0 0
1141 2025-04-09 927 180 10 578 22 016 25 892 1 367 368 334 1 109 32 056 43 342 80 3 782 31 2 921
1140 2025-04-08 925 760 10 575 22 004 25 822 1 367 368 334 1 109 31 951 43 173 80 3 778 31 2 921
days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 817.8 9.3 19.3 23.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 1.0 29.4 39.7 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1158 2025-04-26 817.5 9.3 19.3 23.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 1.0 29.4 39.6 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1157 2025-04-25 817.3 9.3 19.3 23.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 1.0 29.3 39.5 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1156 2025-04-24 817.1 9.3 19.3 23.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 1.0 29.2 39.5 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1155 2025-04-23 816.8 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 29.2 39.4 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1154 2025-04-22 816.5 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 29.1 39.3 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1153 2025-04-21 816.2 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 29.0 39.2 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1152 2025-04-20 815.9 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.9 39.1 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1151 2025-04-19 816.1 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.9 39.1 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1150 2025-04-18 815.9 9.3 19.3 23.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.8 39.0 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1149 2025-04-17 815.6 9.3 19.4 23.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.8 38.9 0.1 3.4 0.0 2.5
1148 2025-04-16 815.0 9.3 19.3 23.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.7 38.6 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1147 2025-04-15 814.6 9.3 19.3 22.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.6 38.5 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1146 2025-04-14 814.4 9.3 19.3 22.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.5 38.4 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1145 2025-04-13 814.1 9.3 19.3 22.8 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.3 38.3 0.1 3.5 0.0 2.5
1144 2025-04-12 813.7 9.3 19.3 22.8 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.2 38.2 0.1 3.5 0.0 2.5
1143 2025-04-11 813.3 9.3 19.3 22.7 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.1 38.1 0.1 3.5 0.0 2.5
1142 2025-04-10 813.0 9.3 19.3 22.7 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.0 38.0 0.1 3.5 0.0 2.5
1141 2025-04-09 812.6 9.3 19.3 22.7 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.1 37.9 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
1140 2025-04-08 812.1 9.3 19.3 22.7 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 28.0 37.8 0.1 3.3 0.0 2.5
days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 342.2 -5.3 -6.3 7.8 -1.2 -1.0 42.6 65.3 -3.3 -2.5
1158 2025-04-26 212.5 -1.3 -14.3 18.8 -0.2 -1.0 84.6 96.4 -3.3 -2.5
1157 2025-04-25 292.7 -1.3 -14.3 46.8 -1.2 0.0 88.7 105.5 -3.3 -2.5
1156 2025-04-24 352.9 -0.3 -16.3 48.8 1.8 2.0 89.8 111.5 -3.3 -2.5
1155 2025-04-23 243.2 -6.3 -14.3 25.9 -0.2 -1.0 104.8 94.6 -3.3 -2.5
1154 2025-04-22 393.5 -1.3 -8.3 61.9 -0.2 0.0 108.9 123.7 -2.3 -2.5
1153 2025-04-21 313.8 -5.3 -0.3 2.9 -1.2 0.0 89.0 94.8 -3.3 -2.5
1152 2025-04-20 -145.9 -7.3 -17.3 -13.1 -1.2 -1.0 35.1 10.9 -3.3 -2.5
1151 2025-04-19 133.9 -8.3 -14.3 25.9 -1.2 -1.0 35.1 72.9 -2.3 -2.5
1150 2025-04-18 364.1 4.7 -10.3 46.9 -0.2 2.0 82.2 169.0 -3.3 0.5
1149 2025-04-17 714.4 -1.3 20.6 65.0 -0.2 0.0 111.2 273.1 47.6 -2.5
1148 2025-04-16 415.0 6.7 34.7 42.0 0.8 2.0 59.3 131.4 -0.3 -2.5
1147 2025-04-15 235.4 -0.3 -6.3 64.1 -1.2 -1.0 117.4 94.5 -0.3 -2.5
1146 2025-04-14 365.6 -2.3 0.7 45.1 0.8 1.0 118.5 171.6 -3.3 -2.5
1145 2025-04-13 495.9 9.7 22.7 36.2 -1.2 1.0 90.7 140.7 -1.5 -2.5
1144 2025-04-12 406.3 2.7 13.7 48.2 -1.2 0.0 118.8 104.8 -2.5 -2.5
1143 2025-04-11 426.7 1.7 -12.3 26.3 0.8 -1.0 49.9 89.9 -3.5 -2.5
1142 2025-04-10 397.0 -8.3 -4.3 38.3 -0.2 -1.0 -28.0 84.0 161.5 -2.5
1141 2025-04-09 607.4 -6.3 -7.3 47.3 -1.2 -1.0 76.9 131.1 0.7 -2.5
1140 2025-04-08 457.9 -5.3 -9.3 29.3 -1.2 0.0 28.0 80.2 -3.3 -2.5
days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 1 124 6 9 54 1 7 0 1 116 138 0 0 0 0
1158 2025-04-26 1 054 6 7 51 1 7 0 1 115 130 0 0 0 0
1157 2025-04-25 1 043 5 7 52 1 7 0 1 108 127 0 0 0 0
1156 2025-04-24 1 053 6 8 52 1 7 0 1 107 136 0 0 0 0
1155 2025-04-23 1 104 6 13 54 1 0 0 1 110 159 0 8 0 0
1154 2025-04-22 1 129 8 20 56 1 0 0 1 103 164 0 8 0 0
1153 2025-04-21 1 106 8 20 56 1 0 0 1 104 160 0 8 0 0
1152 2025-04-20 1 113 8 20 62 1 0 0 1 109 171 0 8 0 0
1151 2025-04-19 1 204 11 26 69 1 0 0 2 116 189 0 9 0 0
1150 2025-04-18 1 243 12 30 73 1 0 0 2 128 194 0 9 0 0
1149 2025-04-17 1 251 12 30 70 1 0 0 1 124 182 0 9 0 0
1148 2025-04-16 1 206 11 26 66 1 0 0 1 127 155 0 2 0 0
1147 2025-04-15 1 233 9 20 66 1 0 0 1 130 155 0 2 0 0
1146 2025-04-14 1 264 8 20 61 1 0 0 1 117 153 0 1 0 0
1145 2025-04-13 1 280 8 19 58 1 0 0 1 78 138 0 25 0 0
1144 2025-04-12 1 286 7 17 54 1 0 0 1 65 122 0 25 0 0
1143 2025-04-11 1 301 7 15 52 2 0 0 0 54 116 0 25 0 0
1142 2025-04-10 1 323 7 17 54 2 0 0 1 58 114 0 25 0 0
1141 2025-04-09 1 347 8 19 51 2 0 0 1 68 106 0 1 0 0
1140 2025-04-08 1 343 9 20 48 2 0 0 1 66 94 0 1 0 0
days date . .
1159 2025-04-27 1 243 8 18 52 1 2 0 1 98 129 0 2 0 0
1158 2025-04-26 1 262 9 19 54 1 2 0 1 101 129 0 2 0 0
1157 2025-04-25 1 290 9 21 56 1 2 0 1 102 132 0 2 0 0
1156 2025-04-24 1 308 9 21 56 1 2 0 1 101 132 0 2 0 0
1155 2025-04-23 1 312 9 22 54 1 0 0 1 99 130 0 3 0 0
1154 2025-04-22 1 316 9 22 54 1 0 0 1 99 129 0 3 0 0
1153 2025-04-21 1 318 9 22 54 1 0 0 1 99 127 0 3 0 0
1152 2025-04-20 1 330 9 23 57 1 0 0 1 100 129 0 3 0 0
1151 2025-04-19 1 348 9 23 60 1 0 0 1 107 133 0 3 0 0
1150 2025-04-18 1 360 10 24 61 2 0 0 1 111 135 0 3 0 0
1149 2025-04-17 1 368 10 25 61 2 0 0 1 113 131 0 3 0 0
1148 2025-04-16 1 352 10 24 60 2 0 0 1 112 124 0 1 0 0
1147 2025-04-15 1 363 10 23 59 2 0 0 1 114 122 0 1 0 0
1146 2025-04-14 1 368 10 23 57 2 0 0 1 111 121 0 1 0 0
1145 2025-04-13 1 376 10 23 58 2 0 0 1 106 118 0 6 0 0
1144 2025-04-12 1 371 10 22 57 2 0 0 1 106 115 0 6 0 0
1143 2025-04-11 1 378 9 21 56 2 0 0 1 106 114 0 6 0 0
1142 2025-04-10 1 376 9 21 55 2 0 0 1 106 112 0 6 0 0
1141 2025-04-09 1 374 9 21 54 2 0 0 1 109 111 0 1 0 0
1140 2025-04-08 1 370 9 21 54 2 0 0 1 112 110 0 1 0 0
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