Loss Statistics

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2024 is key: the economics
Big Ticket Items
Refineries & Disruptions
Boycott
New Artillery: September 24
Forecast And Scenarios: artillery
Forecast And Scenarios: tanks
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big ticket items

February has brought a new dynamic, with ostensibly Patriot missiles downing many aircraft.
  • The picture is never precise. For example, it is hard for Oryx to get visual data on aircraft that fall on rascist territory, as that information will tend to be under tight control.
  • Smaller sunk ships are still not accessible for wreck dive tours and identification...
  • These are areas where the visually confirmed will underestimate reality to a greater extent.
  • Reporting via social media (in particular when rascists admit to downings via friendly fire [sic]), UA MoD reporting, open source satellite analysis require an adjusted perspective.
  • Incidents such as damage of A-50 in Belarus (considered under repairs), are also pertinent as they introduce notions of presumed unavailable - highly pertinent regarding big ticket items.
  • Data is mainly drawn as of 02-2024. Elements under refit/repairs are considered operational, giving rascia the benefit of doubt their can render them operational through cannibalisation, innovative use of haywire and band-aids...
  • This excludes issues or analysis of maintenance, age & reliability, cannibalisation for parts...
  • It appears the older items are not being put in harm's way. Many bombers are reaching the age of 50. A large cross-section of fighters are reaching their forties...
  • Recent models (which are limited in number) also seem to avoid harm's way
  • Given the context, the operational units would be a maximum figure. Su-34 are still numerous enough to launch KAB (Russian FAB air-dropped bomb). However, their intensity will be gradually attrited.
Please rotate your device to view all the data
model &
appr. year introduced
pre2022
(Wikip)
conf. dest.
Oryx
presumed
unavailable
24-03-24
alive (unconfirmed destruction)
operational
refit / repairs

Aircraft: fighters

Su-25 1981
192
37
5
155
80%
150
78%
MiG-31 1981
247
4
0
243
98%
243
98%
MiG-29 1982
253
0
1
253
100%
252
99%
Su-27 1985
273
1
3
272
99%
269
98%
Su-34 2006
149
31
22
118
79%
96
64%
Su-30 2012
110
12
0
98
89%
98
89%
Su-35 2013
118
8
4
110
93%
106
89%
MiG-35 2019
6
0
0
6
100%
6
100%
Su-57 2020
22
0
1
22
100%
21
95%

Aircraft: attack

Su-24 1975
273
14
0
259
94%
259
94%

Aircraft: bombers

Tu-95 1956
42
1
0
41
97%
41
97%
Tu-22M 1973
65
3
1
62
95%
61
93%
Tu-160 1987
20
0
0
20
100%
20
100%

Aircraft: Command and Control

Il-20/22 1969
24
3
2
21
87%
19
79%
A-50 1984
14
2
7
12
85%
5
35%
1
Il-80 1992
3
0
0
3
100%
3
100%
Tu-214 2013
6
0
0
6
100%
6
100%
∑ Aircraft
∑ destroyed as per UA MoD
1817
116
367
46
∆
205
1655
1450
91%
79%

Black Sea Fleet

Subs
Kilo 2014
7
1
1
6
85%
5
71%
Flagships
Slava class Moskva 2001
1
1
0
0
0%
0
0%
Corvettes & frigates
minesweepers 1974
10
1
1
9
90%
8
80%
Grisha 1984
6
0
0
6
100%
6
100%
Landing ship (Alligator Ropucha) 1986
13
4
4
9
69%
5
38%
2
Landing craft (Serna, Tapir) 2008
7
2
0
5
71%
5
71%
Patrol (Raptor) 2015
4
1
1
3
75%
2
50%
1
Guided missile corvette 2018
6
0
2
6
100%
4
66%
intelligence vessels 2018
3
0
2
3
100%
1
33%
0
Patrol 22160 2019
4
1
0
3
75%
3
75%
1
missile corvette 2023
4
0
1
4
100%
3
75%
∑ Ships
∑ destroyed as per UA MoD
65
11
29
12
∆
6
42
36
64%
55%

Source: https://t.me/Crimeanwind/57322

In Novorossiysk @ 2024-04-10, significantly less than above operational items,
while Sevastopol is apparently emptied out of big ticket items:
  • FR "Admiral Makarov" -- Project 11356R Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate
  • FR "Admiral Essen" -- Project 11356R Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate
  • PC "Vasily Bykov" -- Project 22160 patrol ship
  • PC "Dmitry Rogachev" -- Project 22160 patrol ship
  • PC "Pavel Derzhavin" -- Project 22160 patrol ship
  • MPK (Muromets and/or Suzdalets) -- Project 1124M Grisha Class Corvette
  • MRK "Amur" -- Project 22800 Karakurt-class corvette
  • MRK "Tucha" -- Project 22800 Karakurt-class corvette
  • MRK "Vyshny Volochek" -- Project 21631 Buyan-class Corvette
  • RTO "Ingushetia" -- Project 21631 Buyan-M-class corvette
  • MRK "Grayvoron" -- Project 21631 Buyan-M-class corvette
  • MT "Zheleznyakov" -- Project 12660 Gorya-class minesweeper
  • MT ??? --Project 12700 Alexandrit-class minesweeper
  • MT "Vice Admiral Zakharyin" --Project 12700 Alexandrit-class minesweeper
  • MT "Valentin Pikul" -- Project 266ME Natya-class minesweeper
  • BDK "Petr Morgunov" -- Project 11711 Ivan Gren-class landing ship
  • BDK "Orsk" -- Project 1171 Tapir-class landing ship
  • BDK "St. George the Victorious" -- Project 775 Ropucha-class large landing ship
  • BDK "Kaliningrad" -- Project 775 Ropucha-class large landing ship
  • BDK "Korolev" Project 775 Ropucha-class large landing ship
  • GKA "Ataman Platov" --
  • 3× PLB 06363/877V
  • SRZK "Priazovye"
  • OS "Seliger"
  • OS "Ladoga"
  • 2× SBS 22870
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